Showing posts with label foreign policy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label foreign policy. Show all posts

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Working the Bilge

The Common Man's longstanding position on the war in Iraq is a blanket "you break it, you buy it" policy. As a nation, the UnitedStates chose to elect George Bush in 2000 (please, The Common Man doesn't want to hear about Florida, regardless of how valid your complaints may or may not be. Rutherford B. Hayes won the 1876 election in the House of Representatives by promising to end Reconstruction. John Kennedy won in 1960 (in part) because of rampant voter fraud.) and to reelect him in 2004. He (and his advisers), using the authority the American people gave him, invaded Iraq in 2003. Anything that President Bush did or ordered done, any failure by the Commander-in-Chief is shared, in part, by the populace that elected him (and that chooses to live in a political system that elected him. And so, in essence, the Iraq folly can be traced back directly to the American voters, and they need to bear responsibility for that.

So, while The Common Man doesn't like the war and how that war impeded and impedes the U.S.'s ability to fight in Afghanistan, the U.S. has a moral commitment to maintain a significant presence in Iraq until that nation is secure enough to stand on its own, and not crumble from attacks from within and without. The U.S. broke down the system that held the country together, it has an obligation to stay there until a new framework will hold (and will guarantee freedoms for its citizens). Whoever is elected president, The Common Man feels confident that a stark, unfiltered, and realistic assessment of the Iraq situation with generals on the ground in that country will be the deciding factor as to what the U.S. role is from here on out. The desire to protect America's international integrity and reputation in future foreign relations and international actions will trump any and all campaign promises. So while it's good to have a plan to offer potential solutions, it's important that the candidates be flexible to the reality of Iraq and mindful of the commitments the U.S has made, and the responsibilities it bears.

When The Common Man tries to apply the same principle to the recently proposed mortgage bailout, he has mixed feelings. The Common Man strongly believes that individual entities need to endure the consequences for their actions. When you bet on red, and the roulette wheel stops on black, you shouldn't get to get your chips back just because you bet your rent check. Institutions should not be rewarded for their irresponsibility.



The Common Man is also struck by how angry the situation makes him, and how, impulsively, he wants to see these Wall Street types suffer for the mess they made. It's part of a collective schadenfreude that The Common Man is starting to see among normal Americans who just want to punish the guilty and feel better again about their country and their prospects. As though the collapse of a major financial institution and the layoff of all of its employees will somehow make their lives better. The Common Man definitely sympathizes with that viewpoint.

But does that mean that the U.S. should simply let these companies fail? Not necessarily. Think about this crisis from a father's perspective. When your child misbehaves, and engages in risky behavior, parents will often let their child suffer the consequences of their actions, if those consequences are minor. The Common Man, for instance, will allow The Boy to climb up on a footstool, or swing on the big kid swings, or climb the ladder to his treehouse. If he falls, he will be scared, and may have a bruise. He'll cry because he's not even two years old yet. But he'll learn. And The Common Man is there to make sure that nothing too serious befalls him and to catch him if it looks like he's in real danger.

However, just because The Common Man wants his son to learn a lesson about taking care and being thoughtful about his actions, doesn't mean The Common Man wants The Boy to run into the street or to ride his little car down the stairs or stick a paper clip in the light socket. That kind of behavior carries with it unacceptable risk of permanent, life-altering damage. Sure, if he survives he has learned a valuable lesson, but c'mon...

Anyway, when you look at the current bailout of mortgage market, try to look at it from a father's perspective. Yes, you want these companies to learn a valuable lesson about their actions. And you want them to never do something this stupid and risky again. But you (presumably) don't want them to wind up permanently disfigured or dead if their role in the larger economy is such that the economy is better off with them in it.

In that light, several of the proposals in the bailout package being offered by the federal government make sense. CEOs who condoned (or who stood by while others condoned) this behavior should not get to profit from their resignations. The companies themselves should not escape in better shape than they were in before they started these irresponsible lending practices. They should have to bear some of the losses, and should have to pay for the privilege of being bailed out. U.S. taxpayers should be on the hook for as little of the bailout as possible, and the government should be allowed to benefit from any future profit from these companies until its investment is paid off.

In America, it's a cliche to say that the punishment should fit the crime. But having a strong and meaningful punishment that will deter future bad behavior (the real goal of fatherly discipline) does not require the deaths of American financial institutions. Instead, the U.S. government needs to implement policies that force companies like Bear Stearns and AIG and Lehman Brothers to reap consequences for their actions and take responsibility for what they've done, while providing them a way forward into a better, more socially and economically responsible means of doing business, while continuing to provide the proper oversight and guidance that any good father would give his child. And it sounds as though that's what Congress is trying to do. The Common Man hopes so.

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

All's Fair...

See, this is more like it. The Common Man drove around this morning, doing the things that The Common Man does, and gets his pants scared off by an NPR interview about Pakistan. According to Prof. Christine Fair, a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation, in the U.S.'s post-9/11 mucking about, government officials have settled on Pakistan on the one best chance to fight off radicalism in the Muslim world. This policy is complicated by Pakistan's continuing attempts to support some extremists groups, but not others (an unsuccessful strategy Fair describes as "moderating extremism") and its gross corruption (in which high-value targets have been warned ahead of an impending attack by members of the Pakistani government and in which its new President, Asif Ali Zardari, has earned the nickname "Mr. Ten-Percent").

The danger lies in supporting a regime that has done and likely will do little to curb the threat posed by a resurgent Taliban and al Quaeda, and in putting all of the U.S.'s foreign diplomacy eggs into Pakistan's basket. By not engaging in diplomacy with Iran, who actually supported the U.N. effort to oust the Taliban, or any of Afghanistan's other neighbors, regarding the situation in Afghanistan, and in not engaging in an aid program designed to build up the citizenry in Pakistan, the U.S. has left itself vulnerable position with regard to its fight in Afghanistan. In order to resupply troops and bring in aid there, the U.S. is entirely reliant upon Pakistan, whose position is complicated and tenuous, and increased instability could make the war prohibitively expensive and dangerous to maintain, particularly as the U.S. takes public relations hits related to civilian casualties.

It's telling that it takes Fair an hour to truly delve into Pakistan, a nation of contrasts. They're an ally, but the sworn enemy of another great U.S. ally (India). They've commited resources and manpower to the fight against al Quaeda, but encourage terrorists in Kashmere who interact with the same terrorist groups they're fighting. They have a quasi-democracy, but the country's elites all seem to alienate the average citizenry and use their elected positions to entrench themselves and oppose democratic and anti-corruption reform. And it's not until the end that Fair gets to the truly disturbing notion that, frankly, no one knows enough about Pakistan to adequately explain where the Taliban and al Quaeda are getting the weapons they're using to terrorize the populace and fight the government.

Anyway, it's well worth listening to, as Fair is engaging and adept at making the intricacies of Pakistan understandable, and The Common Man is providing the link here. And in doing so, ask yourself whether fear and caution are manly traits. The Common Man doesn't mean abject, irrational fear, of course. But it seems to The Common Man that adequate fear leads to adequate caution and adequate preparation for risk. And isn't a huge part of being a responsible man (and a Boy Scout, The Common Man assumes, though he bounced out of Cub Scouts after a year of Webelos), being prepared? The Common Man wishes that America's foreign policy was being carried out by men and women with a proper level of fear about Pakistan, and would take precautions to make sure that, should something go wrong, the U.S. is not out of moves.

The Common Man plans to send this information to Connie and Fish and see if they (and their listeners) can help.